
Trump: analysts contrast his chances with Hillary Clinton
(Xinhua) — U.S. Republican candidate Donald Trump has virtually
secured the nomination with a win in Indiana Tuesday night, and experts
say he could even beat likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in the
presidential race if he can tone down his explosive rhetoric.
The brash businessman cruised to an easy win in Indiana, which forced his chief rival Senator Ted Cruz to quit his campaign.
While many analysts only six months ago dismissed Trump as a flash in
the pan, they simply underestimated the level of public anger over the
weak U.S. job market and bitterness against Washington insiders.
While Trump has a high negative rate — the rate at which people
dislike a candidate — those of Clinton are nearly as high, as a number
of Americans find her stiff and unapproachable, and see her as someone
who does not understand the needs of ordinary Americans.

Hillary Clinton: Has problems with Bernie Sanders people
But perhaps the most telling is that Clinton has failed to galvanize
her party or excite her supporters in the same way as Trump has done.
This has been shown by strong Democratic support for rival Senator
Bernie Sanders, who put up a tough fight against Clinton over the past
several months, despite Clinton just six months ago being considered a
shoo-in for the nomination.
Sanders is expected to stay in the nomination race longer after his win in Indiana Tuesday night.

Bernie Sanders: enjoys support of disaffected Democrats
For a virtual unknown — and a socialist at that, a philosophy seen by
many as un-American — to gain so much enthusiasm from voters
demonstrates that Clinton is a weak candidate, many analysts believe.
Despite being a celebrity outside the United States, Clinton, the
former first lady and secretary of state, simply neither excites nor
galvanizes her base.
In sharp contrast, after Trump steamrolled through the states of
Maryland, Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island last
week, he has momentum on his side.
Some analysts now say that the only one who can beat Trump is Trump
himself — while he has galvanized the Republican rank and file like no
other Republican candidates in recent years, he is also vehemently
disliked by many outside his base.
Republican strategist Ford O’Connell told Xinhua that if Trump just
adjusts his rhetoric a bit to be less offensive, “he could actually win
this thing.”
“The tone and rhetoric is a major problem,” he said.
“He only needs to do a combined 600,000 votes more than Romney did in
four to five states. And if he does that he’s the next president of the
United States,” O’Connell said, referring to former Republican nominee
Mitt Romney’s 2012 White House run.
Trump has in fact quickly changed his tone after the Indiana win. In
his victory speech in New York, he already praised his rival Cruz, who
he used to call “Lying Ted,” as “a tough, smart guy” who “has got an
amazing future.”
Still, there is the burning question of Hispanic voters. The Hispanic
vote is particularly worrisome for Trump, as he is strongly disliked by
many in this crucial voting bloc after calling Mexican immigrants
“rapists” and vowing to build a wall to keep out illegal immigrants from
Latin America.
However, if Trump chooses former Republican candidate Marco Rubio —
the son of Cuban immigrants — as a running mate, the Florida senator
could help Trump gain enough Hispanic votes to clinch the presidency,
experts say.
O’Connell said Trump would just need around 30 percent of the
Hispanic vote to win the White House, adding that Rubio’s Spanish
language skills would also help smooth over Trump’s image with Latino
voters.
“Rubio speaks fluent Spanish, which means he could take on
Spanish-language media (in the United States) and try to smooth over
some perception issues,” he said.
If Trump teams up with Rubio, he will have a shot at winning Florida,
the crucial state that plays a major role in U.S. general elections,
O’Connell added.
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